Monday, August 17, 2015

Surprises for GOP candidates in new poll

Steve Benen at MSNBC/Rachel reports on "A new Fox News poll was released yesterday, and the results were not altogether expected:"

1. Donald Trump: 25% (down one point from two weeks ago)
2. Ben Carson: 12% (up five points)
3. Ted Cruz: 10% (up four points)
4.Jeb Bush: 9% (down six points)
5. Mike Huckabee: 6% (unchanged)
5. Scott Walker: 6% (down three points)
7. Carly Fiorina: 5% (up three points)
8. John Kasich: 4% (up one point)
8. Marco Rubio: 4% (down one point)
10. Chris Christie: 3% (unchanged)
10. Rand Paul: 3% (down two points)

This is, of course, just one poll, so all of the usual caveats apply. But if the Fox poll’s results accurately reflect the state of the race for GOP voters, the post-debate environment isn’t exactly in line with the conventional wisdom.

... it’s Jeb Bush’s difficulties that stand out for me.

... The former Florida governor kicked off his exploratory committee in December 2014, and after eight months on the campaign trail, despite all kinds of money and support from the GOP establishment, the new Fox poll shows Jeb falling short of double digits, trailing a retired neurosurgeon with strange conspiracy theories and a former reality-show host who accused Mexican immigrants of being rapists.

t’s obviously not too late, and Bush’s team hasn’t really begun to spend much of the vast resources it’s collected. But the presumed frontrunner no doubt expected to be in far better shape at this point in the race.

But looking at movement among the the candidates' rankings, I gotta say (with apologies to Emily Litella) - "it just goes to show ya". The old political saying is true: If you stand on poop, you tend to slide around.

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