Saturday, October 17, 2015

The have nots #1: CD2 totals not good for Democrats

The 3rd quarter reports are disappointing, and that is very much an understatement. AZBlueMeanie reports on the cash-on-hand figures in the Arizona CD2 house race.

Doctor Matt Heinz has $174, 967 cash on hand, and Rep. Victoria Steele has a paltry $32,450 cash on hand. This pales by comparison to Rep. [Martha] McSally, who never stopped raising money after last November’s election. She has $1,668,531 cash on hand. Of course, The FEC has some questions for Martha McSally about her actual fundraising totals. Her campaign engages in GOP "fuzzy math."

There are only four quarters of fundraising remaining between October 1, 2015 and October 1, 2016, just weeks before the early ballots will drop. Every election is more expensive than the last, but using the 2014 election as a baseline metric, the Democratic challengers would have to raise $1.1 million in each of the next four quarters to match Martha McSally’s spending in 2014 to be competitive. To describe the anemic fundraising numbers for the Democratic challengers in their third quarter reports as a disappointment is really an understatement.

Martha McSally will have more money available to her in 2016 as part of the RNC’s incumbent protection program (supplemented by an unlimited amount of Super PAC and independent "dark money"). If a Democrat wants to be competitive, they are going to have to do way better than what Democrats have done so far.

If we could get 1,000 Dems to each cough up $100 we would be on the way to reducing the impact of McSally's war chest.

"What's in your wallet?"

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