Larry Bodine (Blog for Arizona) reports the latest poll on the Arizona Senate race to replace Sen. Jeff Flake: New Poll: Sinema Beats McSally, Ward or Arpaio in US Senate Race.
Regardless who the Republicans choose as their candidate for the Arizona US Senate seat, a new poll shows Democratic Congress member Kyrsten Sinema winning against them.
The survey by OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 says that the key reason is independent voters, who have a very negative view of GOP leader President Trump, and the negative view that voters in general have of Republicans Kelli Ward, Joe Arpaio, and Martha McSally.
And this is despite the 12% advantage that the GOP has (1,223,219 registered Republicans) over Democrats (1,090,310 registered Democrats) in Arizona. The survey sample reflected the Republican +12-point advantage over Democrats.
The poll finds that if the primary were held today, Kelly Ward would win the Republican nomination with 36% of the votes, compared with 27% of the votes for McSally and 22% of the votes for Arpaio.
But no matter. Sinema wins against any of the three GOP/Trumpist candidates.
- Arpaio, 59% to 33%
- McSally, 48% vs. 42%
- Ward, 50% to 40%