Sunday, November 18, 2018

2018 election update for Nov. 18. Hobbs declared SoS winner.

Updated voting numbers

My reporting started with 0630, Saturday, Nov 10. Here are new results as of 6:00 AM, Sunday, Nov 18.

Numbers flagged with “+” favor Democrats. Numbers flagged with “-” favor Republicans.

I’m carrying forward previous results so you can track trends. For example, yesterday Sinema was beating McSally by 49,318 votes. This morning it stands at 53,676.

Observations

Of note: As of last night (this morning), Katie Hobbs kept her lead for SoS with a 18,373 vote advantage; her previous high - yesterday - was 15,025! Hobbs is the winner.

See this post at Blog for Arizona by AZBlueMeanie: Katie Hobbs elected Secretary of State. Gaynor conceded.

Also of note: In the AZ LD28 Senate race Kate Brophy McGee led her Democratic challenger, Christine Porter Marsh, by only 284; but that was yesterday. Brophy McGee now widened the lead to 347. I had hoped, given enough time and enough ballots, Marsh might take this one. Marsh is Arizona’s 2016 Teacher of the year. It’s not looking good. But, as AZBlueMeanie notes, there are still 60K ballots to count in Maricopa and 7K in Pima.

For the two seats on the Arizona Corporation Commission, Sandra Kennedy (D) leads the next highest vote getter, Justin Olson (R), by 21,469, Both Kennedy and Olson beat Rodney Glassman who withdrew.

The good news
US Senate, Sinema vs. McSally: +20,102 +29,832 +32,169 + 38,197 +38,075 +39,505 +46,783 +49,318 +53,676
US House, Kirkpatrick vs. Marquez-Peterson, +19,584 +22,563 +22,563 +24,768 +24,718 +24,718 +27072 +27,072 +27,917
AZ SoS, Hobbs vs. Gaynor, –10,696 –2,008 –424 +5,667 +4,957 +5,916 +13,171 +15,025 +18,373
AZ Corp Com, Sandra Kennedy vs. Olson n/a +4,642 +5,575 +10,473 +10,126 +10,960 +16,642 +18,458 + 21,469
AZ Sup/Public Instruction, Hoffman +31,809 +43,563 + 46,721 +54,057 +53,780 +55,102 +62,638 +65,171, +69,558
AZ LD2 numbers are either not changing or increasing for Dems so I’m calling it.
AZ LD2 Senate, Dalessandro over Kais.
AZ LD2 House, Gabaldon and Hernandez beat Ackerley and Sizer.

Some of the not-so-good news
CD8, voucher queen Lesko leads Tipirneni, –29,455 –30,219 –37,518 –30,887 –31,374 +31,806 –32,279 –32,540, –33,071
LD28 Senate, Kate Brophy McGee leads but not by much –616 –617 –643 –549 –536 –472 –380 –284 –347

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