Monday, April 24, 2017

Significant digits: French election, no to nepotism, and more cancer on the way

Here are three Significant Digits from the FiveThirtyEight morning email.

23.9 percent
With an estimated 23.9 percent of the vote, independent centrist Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the French presidential election, scooping up endorsements from the right and left for his second-round effort. The cross-party unity is in part because with 21.4 percent of the vote, the far-right Nationalist Front candidate Marine Le Pen also made that runoff. [The New York Times]

Sound familiar? A win in May for Le Pen would likely lead to FRexit. Think Donald Trump in skirts. Here’s the NY Times summary.

The two winners will rely on starkly different bases of support in the runoff on May 7.

Ms. Le Pen captured areas with high unemployment and low wages, where she campaigned on pledges to stop immigration and renegotiate France’s relationship with the European Union.

Mr. Macron dominated in economically dynamic areas and large cities, like Paris and Bordeaux, where his pro-business and socially progressive platform resonated with educated voters.

34 percent
Share of Americans who approve of President Donald Trump giving top government jobs to his son-in-law and daughter; 61 percent of respondents to an ABC News poll said they disapproved . Nepotism still doesn’t go over well, regardless of what people think of a president overall. [ABC News]

To those 61% who disapprove: what makes you think that Trump gives a s#!t about what you think?

40 percent
People are living longer, which means they’re more likely to get cancer in the long run because they’re not dying of other stuff. In the U.S., experts estimate we’re going to need about 40 percent more oncologists by 2025 to meet eventual demand. Shortfalls are likely in the near future, so this is a problem that needs to be addressed as soon as possible. [Nautilus]

Trump’s response: a budget that cuts the National Institutes of Health.

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