Wednesday, December 13, 2017

1.5% is the most significant digit this morning - Jones whupped Moore in Alabama

49.9 percent–48.4 percent
Democrat Doug Jones beat Republican Roy Moore with 49.9 percent of the vote to Moore’s 48.4 percent in the Alabama special U.S. Senate election for the seat once held by Attorney General Jeff Sessions. [FiveThirtyEight]

Watching MSNBC’s coverage of the Alabama special election last night, it was a bit of a nail-biter, but it became clear that Democrat Doug Jones had won even before the news outlets started calling it. The MSNBC numbers junkie Steve Kornacki explained that all of Moore’s votes were in but Jones-favoring precincts were still reporting. And that was that.

This morning on ABC’s Good Morning America, Jonathan Karl called the Jones win in deeply red Alabama “a harbinger” of the 2018 election. Also on that program, it was noted that a recount is unlikely. Jones’ margin was 1.5%, three times the trigger of 0.5% for a recount.

And here is the latest significant digit: 49. That is now the latest count of Democratic votes in the Senate.

I‘ll end with a personal note. Your Scriber really did not think that the state of Alabama could rise above its religion, its politics, and its history to reject an accused sexual offender. But enough of the voters did that. I owe 1.5% of the Alabama voters an apology.

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