Monday, September 23, 2019

Warren leads in Iowa and House Republicans, fed up with Trump, bail out

Two of 538’s significant digits in this morning’s email caught my attention.

On the left, Elizabeth Warren is ahead in a new Iowa poll with a 2-percentage-point lead over Biden
Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s steady climb in the polls has reached a new high watermark: For the first time, Iowa’s most respected pollster has found her leading the 2020 pack in the state. The Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll released over the weekend found Warren 2 points ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden, though only one out of every five voters in Iowa say they’re certain about whom they’ll caucus for. [Des Moines Register]

And on the right, 40 percent of Republican congressmen have left or will be leaving the House.
When President Trump took office in 2017 there were 241 Republicans in the House of Representatives. Now, nearly 40 percent of those politicians are either gone or plan to leave office. Most of those departures are due to a mix of electoral losses and retirements. But some Republicans, like Michigan’s Rep. Paul Mitchell, are openly fed up with Trump’s influence on the party, and want out. [The Washington Post]

Here’s a little more depth on Mitchell - who might be representative of Republicans leaving the House.

Moments after Trump’s July 14 missive telling four U.S. congresswomen of color to “go back” to their countries of origin, the congressman from Michigan phoned a fellow House GOP leader and asked him to get Trump to stop. “It’s the wrong thing for a leader to say,” he told the leader, whom he declined to name. “It’s politically damaging to the party, to the country.”

Three days later, Mitchell was awaiting a prime-time CNN appearance when he saw footage of Trump rallygoers chanting “send her back,” aimed at one of the congresswomen, Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.). Stunned, Mitchell said he scribbled question marks on a notepad to silently ask an aide: “How do I even respond to this on TV?”

But one of the final straws was the unwillingness of people in Trump’s orbit to listen. Mitchell implored Vice President Pence, his chief of staff, Marc Short, and “any human being that has any influence in the White House” to arrange a one-on-one conversation between him and the president so he could express his concerns.

It never happened. And 10 days after the Trump tweet, Mitchell — a two-term lawmaker who thought he’d be in Congress for years to come — announced his retirement.

“We’re here for a purpose — and it’s not this petty, childish b——t,” Mitchell, 62, said in an interview in early September. Pence’s office declined to comment.

For more, check out the Post’s story, Trump’s takeover of GOP forces many House Republicans to head for the exits.

And here is one more significant digit I will add, courtesy of our Roving Reporter Sherry:

Just the facts, in 40 sentences
David Leonhardt, opinion columnist at the NY Times, lists 40 examples of Donald Trump vs. the United States of America. Here are just a few.
Sometimes it’s worth stepping back to look at the full picture.
He has pressured a foreign leader to interfere in the 2020 American presidential election.
He encourages foreign leaders to enrich him and his family by staying at his hotels.
He tells new lies virtually every week — about the economy, voter fraud, even the weather.
He attempts to undermine any independent source of information that he does not like, including judges, scientists, journalists, election officials, the F.B.I., the C.I.A., the Congressional Budget Office and the National Weather Service.
And it goes on and on and on …
Leonhardt concludes: “He is the president of the United States, and he is a threat to virtually everything that the United States should stand for.”

No wonder that the Republicans are bailing out. How do they defend Trump’s war on America and its values?

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