Wednesday, May 20, 2020

In AZ Senate race Kelly leads 'Trump Hack' McSally

Republican Senator Martha McSally trails Democratic Challenger Mark Kelly by 13 points in latest poll. She is getting hammered by the latest ads from the Lincoln Project, one calling her a “Trump Hack” who may not be remembered at all.

Following is a rundown of what is going on from Charlie Sykes at The Bulwark.com.

Nine percent of 2016 Trump voters now say they will vote for Joe Biden. That could decide the election.

Will party switching influence the 2020 presidential election? Our analysis suggests that, yes, a significant number of Trump’s 2016 voters are ready to vote for the presumptive Democratic Party nominee, Joe Biden.

Mike Madrid writes about the impact of the Lincoln Project.

Trump Republicans are in deep trouble in Arizona. The President continues to be a drag on the national brand and an anchor on the GOP’s prospects of holding the White House, Senate and recapturing the House. Moreover, Republicans tying themselves to Trump are sinking faster than the President. A recently released poll in Arizona shows what’s happening and why it changes the electoral college roadmap.

It’s important to know that two days prior to the poll being conducted, The Lincoln Project, a Republican organization created to defeat Trump, began airing ads targeting McSally. The ads were sharp, hard-hitting and effective.

McSally now trails Democrat Mark Kelly by 13 points, according to the latest tracking poll by OH Predictive Insights. While the April poll of 600 likely voters favored Kelly 51% to McSally’s 42%, in May it’s now 51%–38%.

In the Hill, Juan Williams also writes about the Lincoln project. “Anti-Trump Republicans flex their muscle.”

The emotional impact of the Lincoln Project’s ad is generating envy among some Democrats who wonder why - despite Trump’s consistently high disapproval ratings among all voters - they have had trouble penetrating the Trump bubble to reach dissident conservatives.

“The way that you run a presidential campaign is you’re a pirate ship. … You seize and you loot and you burn,” James Carville, the Democratic strategist, said on MSNBC last week.

“Let me tell you … these ‘Never Trumper’ Republicans, the Democrats could learn a lot from them. They’re mean. They fight hard. And we [Democrats] don’t fight like that.”

That is why I think (know) that the group of conservatives making up the Lincoln Project is our best friend.

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