Wednesday, June 24, 2020

Desperation and Despair in Camp Trump as Biden surges ahead

“The Democrats are trying to Rig the 2020 Election, plain and simple!” - President Trump

Sounds to me like a declaration of desperation and despair. Trump and his sickophants are running scared and are trying tricks to suppress the vote. They have good reason to be worried, even panicked. Read on.

Charlie Sykes, writing in the morning email from The Bulwark asks: Are We Looking at a Biden Landslide?

The memory of 2016 will counteract any irrational exuberance, but it’s hard not to see a pattern here. This morning’s headline in the NYT:

Joseph R. Biden Jr. has taken a commanding lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, building a wide advantage among women and nonwhite voters and making deep inroads with some traditionally Republican-leaning groups that have shifted away from Mr. Trump following his ineffective response to the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new national poll of registered voters by The New York Times and Siena College.

Mr. Biden is currently ahead of Mr. Trump by 14 percentage points, garnering 50 percent of the vote compared with 36 percent for Mr. Trump. That is among the most dismal showings of Mr. Trump’s presidency, and a sign that he is the clear underdog right now in his fight for a second term.

The deeper you look, the worse it gets for Trump. Biden has “drawn even with Mr. Trump among male voters, whites and people in middle age and older — groups that have typically been the backbones of Republican electoral success, including Mr. Trump’s in 2016.” Look at the demographic breakdown here:

Josh Kraushaar thinks we need to brace ourselves for the possibility of a Biden landslide. He writes in the National Journal:

So what does it all mean for the November election? Right now, it looks more likely that Biden will win a landslide victory, picking up states uncontested by Democrats in recent elections, than it is that Trump can mount a miraculous turnaround in just over four months. Even as Trump tries to advance a law-and-order pitch amid growing violence and tumult in the nation’s cities, it’s unlikely to benefit the president because he’s the leader in charge. The chaos candidate is now the chaos president. Biden is the challenger pledging a return to normalcy.

Just look at the swing-state map: Biden is leading in every battleground state, according to the RealClearPolitics polling averages, with the exception of North Carolina where the race is tied. Trump trails by 6 points in the electoral prize of Florida, where the president’s newfound willingness to meet with Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro prompted a fierce backlash and quick White House retreat. He’s down 4 points in Arizona, a state that has only voted for a Democratic presidential candidate once since 1964. He’s not close to hitting even 45 percent of the vote in Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin—the Midwestern states he flipped to win the presidency.

Read the rest here.

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