Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Warning signs of pandemic resurgence

From the Washington Post’s Coronavirus Update for June 14th:

Some governors are threatening to shut their states back down as covid–19 cases and hospitalizations climb. Mask-less New Yorkers gathered shoulder-to-shoulder outside bars and restaurants over the weekend as if they had entirely forgotten about social distancing. “Don’t make me come down there …” New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo (D) tweeted in response to a video of one gathering. Gov. Phil Murphy (D) said Monday morning he would consider closing his state again if similar behavior becomes popular in New Jersey. In Arizona and Florida, restaurants are re-closing to indoor dining after employees have tested positive.

The increase in cases is not necessarily because of increased testing. In some places, cases and hospitalizations are on the rise even as testing rates fall. In six states, the seven-day average of new cases has increased since May 31 while the average number of daily tests being conducted has declined. In 14 others, the rate of new cases is increasing faster than the increase in the average number of tests. There are many warning signs in the data that the U.S. is entering a resurgence of the pandemic after states lifted restrictions.

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