Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Latest polls are bad news for Trump

Just How Disastrous Are the Latest Polls for Donald Trump? John Cassidy at the New Yorker answers.

The past few days have brought a series of alarming polls for President Donald Trump, including a new national poll from CNN that was released on Tuesday morning, which shows Joe Biden leading him by sixteen points: fifty-seven per cent to forty-one per cent. Another national poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, which was released on Sunday, showed Biden with a fourteen-point lead: fifty-three per cent to thirty-nine per cent. At the state level, a New York Times and Siena College survey of likely voters in Arizona, a state that the Democrats have only carried once since 1948, showed Trump trailing Biden by eight percentage points. This finding came a day after the same polling team released a pair of polls which indicated that Biden has comfortable leads in Florida and Pennsylvania, two key battleground states.

Scriber: “Comfortable” means Biden leads 49–42 in Pennsylvania and 47–42 in Florida.

Results of the first debate are striking.

In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll forty-nine per cent of respondents said they thought that Biden did a better job, compared to twenty-four per cent for Trump. And, for the first time in this poll since Trump took office, fifty per cent of respondents said that they had a “very negative” view of him.

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