Thursday, November 12, 2020

Biden still ahead in Arizona

Howard Fischer reports, via the Daily Star : Biden’s lead in Arizona narrows, but not at rate where Trump could catch up. Attorney General Mark Brnovich, a Republican, said he believes race and there is no evidence of fraud.

PHOENIX – The gap between Joe Biden and Donald Trump narrowed a bit late Wednesday, but not at a rate fast enough for the incumbent to catch up to the Democratic challenger in Arizona.

Maricopa County dropped another 13,143 ballots, with 7,019 of those going to the incumbent. That amounts to about 53.4%, far short of the pace Trump needs to catch up with fewer than 25,000 ballots remaining to be counted.

The tally from the state’s largest county, coupled with information released earlier from other counties, still leaves the former vice president with 11,600 more votes than Trump. Counties expect to have their counts wrapped up this weekend.

Officially, Arizonans vote not for a candidate but a slate of electors pledged to that person.

That could prove crucial.

Arizona law says when an election is for "an office to be filled by state electors‘’ a recall is necessary only when fewer than 200 votes separate each slate.

Trump may argue that it should instead be governed by a separate law that governs candidate elections. That mandates a recount when the difference is less than one-tenth of 1% of the votes cast for both candidates.

But that appears to provide no more avail. Even assuming the remaining 24,738 ballots to be counted include a vote for either Biden or Trump, the difference between the candidates would have to shrink to about 3,315 to get a recount.

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